Two things comes to mind as I sit here at my desk not doing much except to stare at the computer screen and continue to look at my watch to see if it is 5 yet. When I am bored I get very uneasy about things and yet also I find it entertaining that currently I am excited most about is playing basketball today. Like I said before, when a man understand the value of simple things, then he himself just increased his net worth by that one percent.
Stock Market - well it closed below 8000 today. Sometime I hate to be right, because this is also hurting my portfolio tremendously. But the fact is that you can't mess with the economic inertia. I often have to stand aside and look at things objectively. Often times that conflicts with my personal emotional ties, the majority view, and often times leads to tension between the other person. So when I do take the time to be objective I come to conflict with another person. In sociology it is said that people tend not to like people who disagree with them. They tend to feel like it is a good conversation when they do all the talking and you agree. But this condition is just human behavior and having confrontation is my other behavior, I guess that goes with the territory. But I digress. The market is heading lower, but how low to be honest I don't know. If you look at the overall all economy, I think we will see it slide down until 2013. But that does not mean the stock market will slide the same way. Since I don't know how far it will slide yet (the market), then I would say I think I've identify the resting points (or often termed as the entry points) to have opportunity to buy. I think when we see the Dow at 7600 then it is time to accumulate some stocks again. Again some stocks. I think we will see a temporary rally in January through March. Then a drop in May to July of 2009. So with that vague remark, I think opportunity to buy will come after Thanksgiving, ride the Obama hope wave, slide with the reality by selling, and then looks for more entry points. But I think the bottom line is that the capital model that the US been using and in many ways other country have model themselves are failing. I think a new model will emerge with many of its similarity from the old model, but less on the emphasis of wealth generation through debt. Also during the 2013 or 214 new industry will emerge as leaders which should in many ways leads to a good period of real growth. So from the opinion and brain dump of this wannabe trader, futurist, columnist and meteorologist, I say: Put on your rain coats because it will be raining daggers. Don't try to catch the daggers, but there are possible chance of area for good profits when the cloud pass through. Assure we are still in a storm, but as always there is green sunny days ahead.
My Rights - so who gets to says those two words? I feel that people often use those words too loosely. When someone go against the masses, then he or she get ridiculed. So what about his rights to think differently. I live in the bay area, the ultra super liberal capital of the world, if not the universe. I think it has changed in many ways opposite of what made it so great in the years pass. Be liberal was allowing the other possibilities to flow. The beauty of this place was once the ability to be different and still be accepted. I think that now to be a local person in the bay area you have to be a liberal that has to follow the same thought. Believe in the same political party, vote for the same proposition, be an intellectual and read the same books, or just make sure you feel sorry for those who are less fortunate, otherwise you are evil. This is a making of a you against us mentality and I notice it growing over the years. I think when you start noticing that everyone is pretty much the same, then you got to question who's rights are we oppressing? Which voice is not being heard or even considered? I see that to allow the different was what made the liberal movement so attractive. It drew a different ways in which we do things. It brought innovation. From innovation it brought economic prosperity. From that simple idea of that everybody has rights, not that it is just about my rights, you foster growth with a society and bring evolution to humanity. So this is my right to speak and rant and so I did. I think now it is a time whether nature/god/Dali lama/mother earth/Obama/liberal/Democrat/karma is becoming the equalizer. Economic changes, climate changes, social changes, and much other changes are in the works. So we will not like some of these changes very much and others we will. Bottom line is that we are just pieces of this puzzle, don't make your right (you) more than what it really is worth. Respect yourself, but respect others as well.
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
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